Game winner prediction
| # winners correctly predicted | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/15/19 | 295 | 220 (74.6%) | 228 (77.3%) | 212 (71.9%) | 219 (74.2%) | 211 (71.5%) | 201 (68.1%) | 177 (60.0%) |
| 12/22/19 | 111 | 87 (78.4%) | 88 (79.3%) | 86 (77.5%) | 84 (75.7%) | 80 (72.1%) | 78 (70.3%) | 77 (69.4%) |
| 12/29/19 | 314 | 221 (70.4%) | 206 (65.6%) | 205 (65.3%) | 192 (61.1%) | 184 (58.6%) | 180 (57.3%) | 194 (61.8%) |
| 01/05/20 | 326 | 233 (71.5%) | 223 (68.4%) | 216 (66.3%) | 203 (62.3%) | 195 (59.8%) | 193 (59.2%) | 193 (59.2%) |
| 01/12/20 | 325 | 231 (71.1%) | 222 (68.3%) | 217 (66.8%) | 208 (64.0%) | 211 (64.9%) | 189 (58.2%) | 194 (59.7%) |
| 01/19/20 | 330 | 227 (68.8%) | 225 (68.2%) | 216 (65.5%) | 220 (66.7%) | 211 (63.9%) | 190 (57.6%) | 187 (56.7%) |
| 01/26/20 | 331 | 235 (71.0%) | 234 (70.7%) | 227 (68.6%) | 230 (69.5%) | 219 (66.2%) | 201 (60.7%) | 206 (62.2%) |
| 02/02/20 | 321 | 216 (67.3%) | 210 (65.4%) | 213 (66.4%) | 205 (63.9%) | 199 (62.0%) | 190 (59.2%) | 188 (58.6%) |
| 02/09/20 | 334 | 249 (74.6%) | 231 (69.2%) | 228 (68.3%) | 226 (67.7%) | 220 (65.9%) | 202 (60.5%) | 190 (56.9%) |
| 02/16/20 | 325 | 220 (67.7%) | 207 (63.7%) | 207 (63.7%) | 210 (64.6%) | 204 (62.8%) | 184 (56.6%) | 191 (58.8%) |
| 02/23/20 | 323 | 230 (71.2%) | 225 (69.7%) | 226 (70.0%) | 219 (67.8%) | 213 (65.9%) | 186 (57.6%) | 204 (63.2%) |
| 03/01/20 | 297 | 204 (68.7%) | 198 (66.7%) | 198 (66.7%) | 190 (64.0%) | 202 (68.0%) | 179 (60.3%) | 178 (59.9%) |
| Total | 3632 | 2573 (70.8%) | 2497 (68.8%) | 2451 (67.5%) | 2406 (66.2%) | 2349 (64.7%) | 2173 (59.8%) | 2179 (60.0%) |
| Expected | 3632 | 2767 (76.2%) | 2710 (74.6%) | 2687 (74.0%) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Score margin prediction
| Squared correlation coefficient | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/15/19 | 295 | 0.207 | 0.189 | 0.141 | 0.109 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.080 |
| 12/22/19 | 111 | 0.417 | 0.422 | 0.330 | 0.304 | 0.016 | 0.124 | 0.198 |
| 12/29/19 | 314 | 0.152 | 0.142 | 0.118 | 0.082 | 0.011 | 0.056 | 0.031 |
| 01/05/20 | 326 | 0.109 | 0.077 | 0.046 | 0.055 | 0.026 | 0.001 | 0.043 |
| 01/12/20 | 325 | 0.079 | 0.053 | 0.040 | 0.018 | 0.001 | 0.006 | 0.021 |
| 01/19/20 | 330 | 0.122 | 0.085 | 0.075 | 0.066 | 0.003 | 0.021 | 0.025 |
| 01/26/20 | 331 | 0.172 | 0.155 | 0.133 | 0.135 | 0.017 | 0.026 | 0.055 |
| 02/02/20 | 321 | 0.072 | 0.052 | 0.049 | 0.035 | 0.002 | 0.008 | 0.022 |
| 02/09/20 | 334 | 0.096 | 0.070 | 0.071 | 0.057 | 0.012 | 0.038 | 0.012 |
| 02/16/20 | 325 | 0.109 | 0.093 | 0.089 | 0.067 | 0.011 | 0.021 | 0.040 |
| 02/23/20 | 323 | 0.174 | 0.143 | 0.134 | 0.125 | 0.011 | 0.031 | 0.052 |
| 03/01/20 | 297 | 0.127 | 0.091 | 0.080 | 0.071 | 0.017 | 0.034 | 0.011 |
| Total | 3632 | 0.155 | 0.132 | 0.107 | 0.088 | 0.012 | 0.031 | 0.042 | Combined plot |
x:act. y:pred. |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |