Game winner prediction
| # winners correctly predicted | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/17/17 | 282 | 228 (80.9%) | 226 (80.1%) | 217 (77.0%) | 221 (78.4%) | 217 (77.0%) | 197 (69.9%) | 185 (65.6%) |
| 12/24/17 | 238 | 180 (75.6%) | 170 (71.4%) | 171 (71.8%) | 157 (66.0%) | 160 (67.2%) | 155 (65.1%) | 142 (59.7%) |
| 12/31/17 | 337 | 231 (68.5%) | 218 (64.7%) | 231 (68.5%) | 218 (64.7%) | 203 (60.2%) | 205 (60.8%) | 188 (55.8%) |
| 01/07/18 | 334 | 230 (68.9%) | 215 (64.4%) | 214 (64.1%) | 209 (62.6%) | 211 (63.2%) | 217 (65.0%) | 177 (53.0%) |
| 01/14/18 | 345 | 245 (71.0%) | 235 (68.1%) | 233 (67.5%) | 223 (64.6%) | 212 (61.4%) | 211 (61.2%) | 201 (58.3%) |
| 01/21/18 | 318 | 228 (71.7%) | 219 (68.9%) | 214 (67.3%) | 221 (69.5%) | 223 (70.1%) | 199 (62.6%) | 184 (57.9%) |
| 01/28/18 | 335 | 237 (70.7%) | 235 (70.1%) | 233 (69.6%) | 242 (72.2%) | 234 (69.9%) | 210 (62.7%) | 195 (58.2%) |
| 02/04/18 | 333 | 233 (70.0%) | 234 (70.3%) | 232 (69.7%) | 225 (67.6%) | 208 (62.5%) | 209 (62.8%) | 191 (57.4%) |
| 02/11/18 | 334 | 235 (70.4%) | 227 (68.0%) | 220 (65.9%) | 225 (67.4%) | 217 (65.0%) | 208 (62.3%) | 188 (56.3%) |
| 02/18/18 | 342 | 249 (72.8%) | 236 (69.0%) | 228 (66.7%) | 230 (67.3%) | 220 (64.3%) | 205 (59.9%) | 202 (59.1%) |
| 02/25/18 | 306 | 202 (66.0%) | 190 (62.1%) | 193 (63.1%) | 190 (62.1%) | 195 (63.7%) | 178 (58.2%) | 170 (55.6%) |
| 03/04/18 | 196 | 151 (77.0%) | 150 (76.5%) | 146 (74.5%) | 151 (77.0%) | 144 (73.5%) | 123 (62.8%) | 116 (59.2%) |
| Postseason | 134 | 92 (68.7%) | 84 (62.7%) | 81 (60.4%) | 87 (64.9%) | 85 (63.4%) | 69 (51.5%) | 77 (57.5%) |
| Total | 3834 | 2741 (71.5%) | 2639 (68.8%) | 2613 (68.2%) | 2599 (67.8%) | 2529 (66.0%) | 2386 (62.2%) | 2216 (57.8%) |
| Expected | 3834 | 2941 (76.7%) | 2890 (75.4%) | 2842 (74.1%) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Score margin prediction
| Squared correlation coefficient | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/17/17 | 282 | 0.259 | 0.258 | 0.211 | 0.208 | 0.027 | 0.121 | 0.061 |
| 12/24/17 | 238 | 0.321 | 0.292 | 0.255 | 0.213 | 0.012 | 0.113 | 0.066 |
| 12/31/17 | 337 | 0.135 | 0.100 | 0.067 | 0.095 | 0.019 | 0.021 | 0.023 |
| 01/07/18 | 334 | 0.136 | 0.140 | 0.076 | 0.088 | 0.018 | 0.040 | 0.014 |
| 01/14/18 | 345 | 0.097 | 0.081 | 0.069 | 0.050 | 0.052 | 0.042 | 0.007 |
| 01/21/18 | 318 | 0.182 | 0.134 | 0.134 | 0.126 | 0.018 | 0.020 | 0.074 |
| 01/28/18 | 335 | 0.114 | 0.106 | 0.102 | 0.079 | 0.008 | 0.034 | 0.036 |
| 02/04/18 | 333 | 0.090 | 0.069 | 0.082 | 0.052 | 0.015 | 0.033 | 0.023 |
| 02/11/18 | 334 | 0.128 | 0.086 | 0.099 | 0.080 | 0.016 | 0.022 | 0.045 |
| 02/18/18 | 342 | 0.192 | 0.146 | 0.127 | 0.148 | 0.058 | 0.044 | 0.042 |
| 02/25/18 | 306 | 0.063 | 0.055 | 0.044 | 0.046 | 0.000 | 0.024 | 0.006 |
| 03/04/18 | 196 | 0.116 | 0.118 | 0.081 | 0.133 | 0.023 | 0.069 | 0.000 |
| Postseason | 134 | 0.099 | 0.089 | 0.040 | 0.041 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.000 |
| Total | 3834 | 0.169 | 0.149 | 0.123 | 0.112 | 0.017 | 0.051 | 0.033 | Combined plot |
x:act. y:pred. |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |