Game winner prediction
| # winners correctly predicted | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/21/14 | 188 | 132 (70.2%) | 132 (70.2%) | 130 (69.1%) | 136 (72.3%) | 133 (70.7%) | 119 (63.3%) | 122 (64.9%) |
| 12/28/14 | 322 | 241 (74.8%) | 233 (72.4%) | 225 (69.9%) | 225 (69.9%) | 218 (67.7%) | 208 (64.6%) | 196 (60.9%) |
| 01/04/15 | 342 | 241 (70.5%) | 239 (69.9%) | 229 (67.0%) | 225 (65.8%) | 216 (63.2%) | 210 (61.4%) | 201 (58.8%) |
| 01/11/15 | 328 | 229 (69.8%) | 218 (66.5%) | 214 (65.2%) | 222 (67.7%) | 202 (61.6%) | 197 (60.1%) | 205 (62.5%) |
| 01/18/15 | 337 | 236 (70.0%) | 229 (68.0%) | 228 (67.7%) | 229 (68.0%) | 228 (67.7%) | 220 (65.3%) | 193 (57.3%) |
| 01/25/15 | 329 | 236 (71.7%) | 232 (70.5%) | 225 (68.4%) | 220 (66.9%) | 222 (67.5%) | 207 (62.9%) | 188 (57.1%) |
| 02/01/15 | 327 | 231 (70.6%) | 216 (66.1%) | 214 (65.4%) | 215 (65.7%) | 212 (64.8%) | 203 (62.1%) | 195 (59.6%) |
| 02/08/15 | 333 | 216 (64.9%) | 218 (65.5%) | 217 (65.2%) | 223 (67.0%) | 223 (67.0%) | 220 (66.1%) | 175 (52.6%) |
| 02/15/15 | 327 | 251 (76.8%) | 253 (77.4%) | 248 (75.8%) | 253 (77.4%) | 234 (71.6%) | 221 (67.6%) | 203 (62.1%) |
| 02/22/15 | 327 | 228 (69.7%) | 216 (66.1%) | 212 (64.8%) | 210 (64.2%) | 209 (63.9%) | 203 (62.1%) | 182 (55.7%) |
| 03/01/15 | 307 | 228 (74.3%) | 214 (69.7%) | 210 (68.4%) | 209 (68.1%) | 216 (70.4%) | 194 (63.2%) | 186 (60.6%) |
| 03/08/15 | 190 | 136 (71.6%) | 136 (71.6%) | 138 (72.6%) | 139 (73.2%) | 130 (68.4%) | 124 (65.3%) | 112 (58.9%) |
| Postseason | 145 | 96 (66.2%) | 98 (67.6%) | 87 (60.0%) | 92 (63.4%) | 98 (67.6%) | 78 (53.8%) | 83 (57.2%) |
| Total | 3802 | 2701 (71.0%) | 2634 (69.3%) | 2577 (67.8%) | 2598 (68.3%) | 2541 (66.8%) | 2404 (63.2%) | 2241 (58.9%) |
| Expected | 3802 | 2936 (77.2%) | 2895 (76.1%) | 2830 (74.4%) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Score margin prediction
| Squared correlation coefficient | ||||||||
| Rankings date | # games | AASM+HCA | AASM | ASM | Colley | LRMC0 | APS | APA |
| 12/21/14 | 188 | 0.230 | 0.220 | 0.204 | 0.175 | 0.000 | 0.117 | 0.077 |
| 12/28/14 | 322 | 0.269 | 0.241 | 0.192 | 0.185 | 0.008 | 0.121 | 0.037 |
| 01/04/15 | 342 | 0.139 | 0.108 | 0.068 | 0.088 | 0.003 | 0.042 | 0.008 |
| 01/11/15 | 328 | 0.151 | 0.132 | 0.100 | 0.142 | 0.044 | 0.016 | 0.061 |
| 01/18/15 | 337 | 0.172 | 0.140 | 0.133 | 0.117 | 0.019 | 0.056 | 0.027 |
| 01/25/15 | 329 | 0.117 | 0.090 | 0.066 | 0.075 | 0.024 | 0.015 | 0.025 |
| 02/01/15 | 327 | 0.133 | 0.096 | 0.080 | 0.072 | 0.007 | 0.032 | 0.017 |
| 02/08/15 | 333 | 0.171 | 0.120 | 0.102 | 0.093 | 0.013 | 0.054 | 0.017 |
| 02/15/15 | 327 | 0.193 | 0.157 | 0.156 | 0.147 | 0.019 | 0.044 | 0.062 |
| 02/22/15 | 327 | 0.142 | 0.114 | 0.112 | 0.081 | 0.038 | 0.032 | 0.044 |
| 03/01/15 | 307 | 0.176 | 0.156 | 0.167 | 0.150 | 0.029 | 0.040 | 0.084 |
| 03/08/15 | 190 | 0.199 | 0.208 | 0.204 | 0.149 | 0.086 | 0.002 | 0.157 |
| Postseason | 145 | 0.111 | 0.127 | 0.149 | 0.135 | 0.128 | 0.007 | 0.053 |
| Total | 3802 | 0.176 | 0.148 | 0.130 | 0.122 | 0.010 | 0.044 | 0.043 | Combined plot |
x:act. y:pred. |
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